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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+4.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.08+2.54vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+1.70vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.00+0.84vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.07+2.78vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.34+0.53vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.21-0.05vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.57+1.06vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.40-0.33vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.43-3.79vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.25-2.87vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.20-5.21vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.8210.2%1st Place
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4.54Brown University1.0815.3%1st Place
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4.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0114.8%1st Place
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4.84Northeastern University1.0013.2%1st Place
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7.78Harvard University-0.074.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Rhode Island0.347.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Naval Academy0.216.1%1st Place
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9.06Princeton University-0.573.4%1st Place
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8.67University of Vermont-0.403.6%1st Place
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6.21Tufts University0.439.4%1st Place
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8.13Boston University0.254.0%1st Place
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6.79Northwestern University0.207.8%1st Place
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11.33University of California at Los Angeles-1.611.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karya Basaraner | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Julian Dahiya | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tomas Riccio | 14.8% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| Pierson Falk | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Ethan Martin | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| William Roberts | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 13.5% |
| William Gear | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 10.1% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 5.9% |
| Charles Crowell | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| John Flanagan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 13.4% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.