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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94+3.90vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.44-0.01vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.51+0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.56-0.82vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-1.31-0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.82-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9California Poly Maritime Academy-1.944.0%1st Place
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1.99University of Washington0.4443.5%1st Place
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3.2Western Washington University-0.5114.8%1st Place
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3.18University of Washington-0.5616.9%1st Place
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4.12Oregon State University-1.318.3%1st Place
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3.61University of Oregon-0.8212.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Mast | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 20.2% | 50.9% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 43.5% | 29.4% | 15.9% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Anna Morrow | 14.8% | 20.0% | 23.5% | 20.6% | 14.1% | 7.0% |
| Lauren McClintock | 16.9% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 6.3% |
| Aaron Heard | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 27.9% | 22.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 12.6% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 22.0% | 19.9% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.