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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.67+2.57vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.32+0.94vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.29+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.51+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.18-1.64vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-1.00-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Western Washington University0.6718.6%1st Place
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2.71California Poly Maritime Academy1.2029.3%1st Place
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3.94University of Oregon0.3213.6%1st Place
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5.19Northwestern University-0.296.4%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Berkeley-0.515.5%1st Place
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4.36University of Washington0.1811.7%1st Place
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6.47Oregon State University-1.002.6%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Santa Cruz0.2412.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 18.6% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Downey | 29.3% | 24.4% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Murphy | 13.6% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Gabriel Abbott | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 15.2% |
| Guillaume Collin | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 22.9% | 20.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 6.1% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 47.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.