Race 1A

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Schalka 25.3% 18.6% 16.7% 11.1% 11.7% 7.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 14.8% 16.8% 14.3% 13.9% 11.2% 10.6% 8.9% 5.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 7.6% 7.3% 8.6% 8.0% 9.7% 12.0% 15.9% 13.8% 11.8% 5.3% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 17.0% 17.1% 15.9% 15.6% 12.0% 9.9% 6.0% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 8.6% 7.6% 7.7% 10.7% 10.6% 11.1% 13.5% 13.5% 11.7% 5.0% 0.0%
Domenic Re 7.3% 7.3% 9.6% 8.3% 10.4% 13.4% 12.6% 11.5% 13.0% 6.6% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 9.4% 12.8% 12.6% 14.5% 13.7% 11.9% 9.6% 9.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Gavin Schlissel 3.6% 4.1% 5.5% 6.7% 6.5% 9.1% 11.7% 15.3% 19.9% 17.6% 0.0%
Cornell Lee 1.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.7% 4.3% 3.9% 5.8% 9.4% 15.3% 53.0% 0.0%
Domenic Re 7.3% 7.3% 9.6% 8.3% 10.4% 13.4% 12.6% 11.5% 13.0% 6.6% 0.0%
Collin Clark 4.6% 6.8% 6.9% 8.5% 9.9% 10.5% 11.7% 14.6% 17.4% 9.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.