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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy-1.94+3.96vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.44-0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.56+0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.82-0.37vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.51-1.86vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.31-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96California Poly Maritime Academy-1.943.8%1st Place
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1.96University of Washington0.4443.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Washington-0.5617.4%1st Place
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3.63University of Oregon-0.8211.4%1st Place
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3.14Western Washington University-0.5117.1%1st Place
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4.21Oregon State University-1.317.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Mast | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 53.2% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 43.1% | 29.8% | 17.6% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Lauren McClintock | 17.4% | 20.8% | 22.1% | 19.5% | 14.2% | 5.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 11.4% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 23.0% | 21.9% | 11.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 17.1% | 20.3% | 21.1% | 20.4% | 15.7% | 5.5% |
| Aaron Heard | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 27.7% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.