Race 2A

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Schalka 24.6% 20.0% 14.6% 12.8% 10.7% 8.5% 4.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 14.8% 15.1% 15.1% 13.8% 12.7% 11.1% 8.0% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Collin Clark 5.1% 6.7% 6.9% 6.7% 8.1% 9.5% 13.6% 17.1% 17.0% 9.3% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 6.0% 8.0% 9.8% 9.9% 10.4% 13.5% 13.1% 12.6% 11.7% 5.0% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 12.6% 10.4% 13.2% 13.2% 13.7% 11.2% 11.0% 7.2% 5.5% 2.0% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 7.8% 8.7% 7.2% 9.5% 12.0% 12.6% 12.1% 12.1% 11.4% 6.6% 0.0%
Domenic Re 5.2% 7.9% 9.2% 10.4% 9.3% 13.2% 13.0% 13.4% 12.3% 6.1% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 18.7% 17.3% 16.0% 15.1% 12.6% 6.8% 7.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Gavin Schlissel 3.9% 4.1% 5.2% 5.8% 6.9% 9.3% 10.7% 16.0% 21.3% 16.8% 0.0%
Domenic Re 5.2% 7.9% 9.2% 10.4% 9.3% 13.2% 13.0% 13.4% 12.3% 6.1% 0.0%
Cornell Lee 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 3.6% 4.3% 6.3% 8.6% 15.8% 52.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.