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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+2.53vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.23+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.74+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.05-0.49vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.28vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.73-2.05vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Stanford University3.3061.6%1st Place
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4.53University of Rhode Island0.886.5%1st Place
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5.55Western Washington University0.233.2%1st Place
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4.98University of Washington0.745.7%1st Place
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4.51University of Hawaii1.055.9%1st Place
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3.72University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.2%1st Place
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4.95University of California at Berkeley0.735.1%1st Place
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6.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 61.6% | 26.1% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.5% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 7.6% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 3.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 21.6% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 12.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.9% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 7.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.2% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 18.4% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 11.8% |
| Florence Duff | 1.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.