Race 3A

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Schalka 25.4% 20.3% 17.0% 10.7% 11.1% 8.4% 3.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 18.6% 17.4% 16.3% 13.7% 13.2% 8.6% 6.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 11.9% 12.0% 11.7% 13.6% 13.3% 13.0% 11.7% 8.2% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 6.3% 7.7% 10.2% 10.7% 11.8% 13.9% 13.3% 13.5% 9.6% 3.0% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 15.2% 15.7% 15.5% 16.4% 12.7% 10.0% 6.7% 4.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 8.0% 8.9% 8.1% 11.0% 10.5% 13.0% 13.3% 14.6% 9.4% 3.2% 0.0%
Anthony Pappenfus 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 2.5% 3.2% 5.1% 6.5% 11.5% 24.6% 42.4% 0.0%
Collin Clark 5.5% 6.0% 9.1% 8.2% 9.7% 12.1% 14.4% 16.9% 12.1% 6.0% 0.0%
Cornell Lee 1.8% 2.0% 2.1% 3.3% 2.5% 4.9% 8.9% 10.6% 24.4% 39.5% 0.0%
Domenic Re 6.0% 8.5% 8.6% 9.9% 12.0% 11.0% 14.5% 14.0% 11.3% 4.2% 0.0%
Domenic Re 6.0% 8.5% 8.6% 9.9% 12.0% 11.0% 14.5% 14.0% 11.3% 4.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.