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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.24vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.74-1.13vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.90vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.23-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Stanford University3.3063.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Rhode Island0.885.6%1st Place
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4.51University of Hawaii1.055.9%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Berkeley0.734.3%1st Place
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3.76University of California at Los Angeles1.309.9%1st Place
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4.87University of Washington0.745.0%1st Place
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6.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.6%1st Place
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5.6Western Washington University0.233.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 63.0% | 24.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.6% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 8.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.9% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 8.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 12.3% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.9% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 19.5% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 12.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 35.6% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 3.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 21.3% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.