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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+3.01vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.88+0.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.74-1.10vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.93vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.23-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Stanford University3.3060.6%1st Place
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5.01University of California at Berkeley0.735.1%1st Place
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4.5University of Hawaii1.055.9%1st Place
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4.65University of Rhode Island0.886.4%1st Place
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3.78University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.2%1st Place
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4.9University of Washington0.745.3%1st Place
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6.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.8%1st Place
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5.51Western Washington University0.233.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 60.6% | 26.5% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 12.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.9% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 7.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.4% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 8.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.2% | 18.6% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.3% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 11.1% |
| Florence Duff | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 35.8% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 3.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.