Race 4A

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ben Buhl 17.9% 15.7% 14.1% 13.0% 13.1% 9.8% 8.7% 5.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 11.3% 11.3% 13.9% 13.0% 13.5% 10.8% 12.7% 8.8% 3.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Michael Schalka 22.3% 20.0% 15.6% 16.1% 11.1% 7.5% 4.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 18.1% 18.6% 15.9% 14.4% 12.3% 9.9% 5.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 8.4% 8.2% 8.8% 9.6% 11.1% 13.2% 15.2% 13.4% 8.8% 3.3% 0.0%
Collin Clark 6.9% 6.4% 6.6% 7.4% 10.5% 12.0% 13.4% 15.3% 16.3% 5.2% 0.0%
Domenic Re 5.5% 8.0% 10.3% 8.9% 10.9% 14.3% 14.4% 15.0% 9.4% 3.3% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 6.5% 8.7% 10.2% 10.8% 10.6% 13.2% 12.3% 14.5% 9.8% 3.4% 0.0%
Cornell Lee 1.7% 1.7% 2.3% 3.2% 3.9% 4.6% 6.5% 11.6% 25.9% 38.6% 0.0%
Anthony Pappenfus 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 3.6% 3.0% 4.7% 6.9% 9.8% 22.5% 44.4% 0.0%
Domenic Re 5.5% 8.0% 10.3% 8.9% 10.9% 14.3% 14.4% 15.0% 9.4% 3.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.