Race 5A

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Schalka 25.0% 20.3% 15.6% 13.3% 10.1% 7.5% 4.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 15.8% 15.5% 14.3% 13.9% 13.4% 11.2% 7.7% 4.9% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 7.1% 7.5% 9.6% 8.6% 11.1% 13.7% 15.6% 14.1% 9.7% 3.0% 0.0%
Domenic Re 5.8% 7.5% 9.7% 9.8% 12.6% 11.1% 14.7% 14.7% 10.2% 3.9% 0.0%
Collin Clark 6.7% 7.2% 7.2% 9.1% 8.1% 10.9% 15.1% 16.2% 14.2% 5.3% 0.0%
Cornell Lee 2.1% 2.8% 1.7% 3.4% 4.3% 4.6% 7.1% 11.6% 22.5% 39.9% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 17.8% 16.9% 17.3% 14.3% 13.5% 9.4% 4.7% 4.0% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Anthony Pappenfus 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.4% 4.1% 6.8% 10.6% 23.3% 42.7% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 11.9% 11.7% 13.0% 13.8% 12.5% 14.3% 9.8% 8.0% 4.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Domenic Re 5.8% 7.5% 9.7% 9.8% 12.6% 11.1% 14.7% 14.7% 10.2% 3.9% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 6.4% 8.7% 9.2% 10.4% 11.0% 13.2% 14.1% 12.9% 10.1% 4.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.