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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+2.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05+0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.98vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.23-1.50vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Stanford University3.3063.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Rhode Island0.885.8%1st Place
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3.72University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.7%1st Place
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4.49University of Hawaii1.055.9%1st Place
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4.92University of Washington0.744.9%1st Place
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5.02University of California at Berkeley0.733.8%1st Place
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5.5Western Washington University0.233.8%1st Place
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6.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 63.0% | 24.6% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.8% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 8.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.7% | 19.2% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.9% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 6.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 12.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 3.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 12.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 3.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 21.5% |
| Florence Duff | 2.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 19.8% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.