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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.57vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+2.59vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74-0.11vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.23-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.73-2.07vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57Stanford University3.3061.6%1st Place
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4.59University of Rhode Island0.885.6%1st Place
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3.76University of California at Los Angeles1.309.3%1st Place
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4.44University of Hawaii1.056.8%1st Place
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4.89University of Washington0.745.1%1st Place
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5.57Western Washington University0.233.4%1st Place
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4.93University of California at Berkeley0.736.2%1st Place
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6.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 61.6% | 25.2% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.6% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 7.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.3% | 19.6% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.8% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 6.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.1% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 10.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 3.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 21.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 12.4% |
| Florence Duff | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 18.3% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.