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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+2.58vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.46+2.02vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.84+0.28vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.46+2.11vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland2.18-0.43vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College1.73-0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.66-1.30vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.72-2.46vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.21-0.60vs Predicted
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10St. John's College0.30-1.74vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.66-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.2%1st Place
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4.02Christopher Newport University2.460.2%1st Place
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3.28Georgetown University2.840.2%1st Place
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6.11Cornell University1.460.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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5.53Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Virginia1.660.1%1st Place
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5.54William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
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8.4Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.26St. John's College0.300.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Virginia1.660.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Galster | 21.8% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 15.1% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schalka | 22.4% | 20.9% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Clark | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 12.5% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 23.6% | 43.1% | 0.0% |
| Cornell Lee | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 12.8% | 23.7% | 38.9% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.