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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.56vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05+0.50vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.02vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.23-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.74-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56Stanford University3.3061.9%1st Place
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4.63University of Rhode Island0.886.2%1st Place
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3.7University of California at Los Angeles1.3011.8%1st Place
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4.5University of Hawaii1.055.8%1st Place
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6.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.8%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Berkeley0.735.1%1st Place
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5.53Western Washington University0.233.3%1st Place
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4.99University of Washington0.744.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 61.9% | 25.1% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.2% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 8.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.8% | 18.5% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.8% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 7.4% |
| Florence Duff | 1.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 37.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 12.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 3.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 20.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.