← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.84+2.24vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+1.70vs Predicted
-
3Ocean County College1.73+2.61vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University2.46-0.02vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary1.72+0.50vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University1.46+0.05vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland2.18-2.42vs Predicted
-
8St. John's College0.30+0.21vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University0.21-0.57vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia1.66-4.31vs Predicted
-
11University of Virginia1.66-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.24Georgetown University2.840.3%1st Place
-
3.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.2%1st Place
-
5.61Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
-
3.98Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
-
5.5William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
-
6.05Cornell University1.460.1%1st Place
-
4.58University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
-
8.21St. John's College0.300.0%1st Place
-
8.43Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
-
5.69University of Virginia1.660.1%1st Place
-
5.69University of Virginia1.660.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Schalka | 25.7% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 17.7% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 14.5% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Clark | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cornell Lee | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 24.0% | 38.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Pappenfus | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 22.4% | 44.5% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.