Race 8A

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Schalka 25.5% 20.4% 14.1% 13.2% 10.5% 8.6% 4.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 14.1% 17.6% 14.8% 13.7% 13.6% 10.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 7.1% 7.1% 10.5% 7.5% 11.0% 13.1% 17.2% 14.1% 9.0% 3.4% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 11.7% 11.4% 13.2% 15.8% 12.4% 12.6% 9.9% 8.5% 3.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 18.7% 17.3% 16.3% 16.0% 12.7% 7.0% 6.1% 4.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Collin Clark 6.7% 5.7% 7.0% 9.1% 9.8% 11.8% 13.5% 15.6% 15.2% 5.6% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 6.0% 8.3% 10.4% 9.6% 12.2% 14.2% 14.0% 13.6% 8.8% 2.9% 0.0%
Domenic Re 7.0% 8.6% 9.4% 8.6% 11.4% 12.4% 13.9% 14.2% 10.3% 4.2% 0.0%
Anthony Pappenfus 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 3.5% 3.0% 5.0% 6.5% 10.3% 23.7% 43.1% 0.0%
Cornell Lee 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 3.0% 3.4% 5.1% 6.7% 11.7% 24.6% 39.3% 0.0%
Domenic Re 7.0% 8.6% 9.4% 8.6% 11.4% 12.4% 13.9% 14.2% 10.3% 4.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.