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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.39vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.74-2.16vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.23-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Stanford University2.1938.7%1st Place
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4.51University of Rhode Island0.888.9%1st Place
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4.45University of Hawaii1.0510.6%1st Place
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3.61University of California at Los Angeles1.3016.6%1st Place
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6.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.8%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Berkeley0.738.3%1st Place
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4.84University of Washington0.747.4%1st Place
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5.39Western Washington University0.235.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 38.7% | 29.2% | 16.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 8.9% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 8.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 7.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 16.6% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Florence Duff | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 36.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 13.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 11.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 19.8% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.