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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+4.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+2.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.08+1.45vs Predicted
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4Harvard University-0.07+3.77vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.43+1.34vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.00-1.21vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.57+2.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.21-1.08vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.20-2.25vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.40-1.37vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.25-3.00vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.34-5.30vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.8210.6%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0114.9%1st Place
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4.45Brown University1.0816.8%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University-0.074.7%1st Place
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6.34Tufts University0.436.8%1st Place
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4.79Northeastern University1.0014.2%1st Place
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9.18Princeton University-0.572.8%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy0.216.5%1st Place
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6.75Northwestern University0.207.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont-0.403.0%1st Place
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8.0Boston University0.254.8%1st Place
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6.7University of Rhode Island0.346.8%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Los Angeles-1.611.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karya Basaraner | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Tomas Riccio | 14.9% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Julian Dahiya | 16.8% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 5.1% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 14.2% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Roberts | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 13.3% |
| Ethan Martin | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Charles Crowell | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| William Gear | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 9.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 6.7% |
| Pierson Falk | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| John Flanagan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.