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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.02vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.66+0.31vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-0.14vs Predicted
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4American University1.85+0.75vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.85-0.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-2.27vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.82-1.69vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.77-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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2.31U. S. Naval Academy3.660.3%1st Place
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2.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.2%1st Place
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4.75American University1.850.1%1st Place
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4.78Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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3.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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7.31Drexel University-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.25Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Steel | 20.0% | 22.5% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 34.2% | 28.0% | 19.4% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Zacher | 22.7% | 21.4% | 22.5% | 18.8% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Russell Gasdia | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 23.2% | 32.2% | 8.2% | 0.4% |
| John O'Riordan | 5.3% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 23.4% | 32.9% | 8.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Boger | 11.9% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 13.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Gibbons | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 35.8% | 53.8% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 44.9% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.