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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05+0.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.06vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.07vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.23-1.56vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.74-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Stanford University2.1940.4%1st Place
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3.53University of California at Los Angeles1.3015.9%1st Place
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4.55University of Rhode Island0.888.5%1st Place
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4.4University of Hawaii1.059.7%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Berkeley0.737.8%1st Place
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6.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.2%1st Place
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5.44Western Washington University0.236.0%1st Place
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4.84University of Washington0.747.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 40.4% | 25.6% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 15.9% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 8.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 7.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 12.7% |
| Florence Duff | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 36.4% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 21.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.