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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.88+0.55vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.09vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.23-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.74-2.24vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Stanford University2.1939.8%1st Place
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3.63University of California at Los Angeles1.3015.0%1st Place
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4.33University of Hawaii1.0511.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Rhode Island0.889.8%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Berkeley0.737.4%1st Place
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5.44Western Washington University0.235.8%1st Place
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4.76University of Washington0.747.9%1st Place
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6.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 39.8% | 27.2% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 15.0% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 6.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 8.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 11.5% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 22.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 10.3% |
| Florence Duff | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.