Race 10A

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Gowell 35.7% 25.3% 14.8% 10.3% 6.5% 3.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 10.2% 8.6% 13.7% 13.0% 11.8% 14.0% 10.8% 8.4% 7.3% 2.2% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 15.0% 15.1% 15.4% 14.3% 14.8% 9.3% 8.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 4.6% 7.3% 9.2% 9.8% 11.2% 12.5% 14.4% 11.9% 13.7% 5.4% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 13.3% 14.6% 14.5% 14.6% 12.5% 11.8% 8.3% 5.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Collin Clark 6.0% 5.7% 6.2% 7.4% 7.9% 11.9% 11.5% 15.2% 17.2% 11.0% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 4.7% 7.9% 8.4% 10.0% 10.7% 11.7% 15.0% 13.5% 11.4% 6.7% 0.0%
Domenic Re 5.0% 7.3% 8.9% 8.8% 11.3% 11.2% 11.2% 15.8% 12.3% 8.2% 0.0%
Gene Merewether 4.2% 6.8% 6.4% 8.8% 9.9% 9.9% 12.4% 14.6% 17.4% 9.6% 0.0%
Cornell Lee 1.3% 1.4% 2.5% 3.0% 3.4% 4.0% 5.5% 8.9% 14.8% 55.2% 0.0%
Domenic Re 5.0% 7.3% 8.9% 8.8% 11.3% 11.2% 11.2% 15.8% 12.3% 8.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.