Race 11A

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Gowell 34.8% 23.7% 17.1% 9.7% 8.1% 3.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Collin Clark 6.0% 4.3% 6.6% 7.7% 8.5% 10.1% 14.2% 13.3% 18.6% 10.7% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 14.6% 14.4% 15.7% 14.9% 14.3% 10.4% 7.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 11.5% 15.3% 15.0% 15.6% 11.8% 12.4% 7.9% 6.4% 3.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 6.1% 8.9% 8.4% 7.9% 10.3% 12.4% 12.8% 14.0% 14.0% 5.2% 0.0%
Gene Merewether 6.1% 6.0% 5.7% 8.1% 10.4% 10.4% 12.4% 14.6% 15.9% 10.4% 0.0%
Domenic Re 5.1% 6.2% 8.2% 9.2% 11.9% 12.7% 12.4% 13.9% 13.3% 7.1% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 8.9% 12.3% 12.4% 12.8% 12.1% 13.2% 10.9% 9.2% 6.5% 1.7% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 5.7% 7.3% 8.9% 10.6% 9.8% 10.9% 13.5% 13.7% 13.4% 6.2% 0.0%
Domenic Re 5.1% 6.2% 8.2% 9.2% 11.9% 12.7% 12.4% 13.9% 13.3% 7.1% 0.0%
Cornell Lee 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 3.5% 2.8% 4.3% 6.4% 8.3% 12.9% 57.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.