← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.05+3.41vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island0.88+2.52vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.19-0.83vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.94vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.74-0.11vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.38vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.23-1.58vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.41University of Hawaii1.0510.1%1st Place
-
4.52University of Rhode Island0.889.6%1st Place
-
2.17Stanford University2.1941.2%1st Place
-
4.94University of California at Berkeley0.737.4%1st Place
-
4.89University of Washington0.747.5%1st Place
-
3.62University of California at Los Angeles1.3014.5%1st Place
-
5.42Western Washington University0.235.3%1st Place
-
6.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 7.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 8.6% |
| Sophie Fisher | 41.2% | 27.6% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 13.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 12.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 14.5% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 20.4% |
| Florence Duff | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.