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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74-0.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.04vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.23-1.55vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Stanford University2.1940.6%1st Place
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4.54University of Rhode Island0.889.3%1st Place
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4.38University of Hawaii1.059.6%1st Place
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3.59University of California at Los Angeles1.3015.9%1st Place
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4.76University of Washington0.748.3%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Berkeley0.737.5%1st Place
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5.45Western Washington University0.235.1%1st Place
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6.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 40.6% | 27.5% | 15.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 8.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 7.3% |
| Marianna Shand | 15.9% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 11.8% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 12.5% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 20.7% |
| Florence Duff | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.