Race 12A

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Gowell 35.6% 25.3% 14.6% 10.0% 7.1% 3.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 12.2% 13.9% 15.5% 14.1% 12.8% 11.4% 9.4% 5.6% 4.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 15.1% 14.1% 16.4% 14.3% 13.9% 10.8% 7.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 8.5% 11.8% 12.6% 13.2% 13.6% 11.9% 11.6% 8.9% 5.7% 2.2% 0.0%
Domenic Re 6.1% 7.6% 8.0% 7.7% 9.7% 11.4% 14.8% 14.0% 13.9% 6.8% 0.0%
Collin Clark 6.1% 5.4% 6.0% 7.1% 9.1% 12.4% 10.7% 13.9% 18.0% 11.3% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 5.1% 7.1% 8.6% 10.4% 10.8% 13.0% 14.3% 12.1% 12.4% 6.2% 0.0%
Gene Merewether 4.3% 5.5% 8.3% 9.0% 9.6% 9.6% 11.2% 16.0% 16.9% 9.6% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 5.8% 7.6% 7.7% 10.8% 10.5% 11.7% 12.2% 15.0% 12.6% 6.1% 0.0%
Cornell Lee 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 3.4% 2.9% 4.0% 5.9% 8.4% 13.7% 56.5% 0.0%
Domenic Re 6.1% 7.6% 8.0% 7.7% 9.7% 11.4% 14.8% 14.0% 13.9% 6.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.