Race 1B

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Katia DaSilva 48.6% 28.0% 14.9% 5.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Don Hause III 24.3% 31.0% 22.4% 10.6% 7.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 5.6% 6.8% 11.5% 16.5% 16.8% 16.9% 13.7% 9.1% 3.1%
Richard Ross 7.0% 11.5% 15.5% 20.3% 16.6% 13.5% 9.8% 4.4% 1.4%
Alex Gatto 5.1% 8.9% 14.2% 14.8% 15.7% 14.8% 13.1% 8.5% 4.9%
Sarah Hamm 3.4% 4.7% 7.6% 11.0% 15.2% 16.4% 17.9% 15.2% 8.6%
Ted Wingender 2.4% 4.9% 6.1% 10.7% 12.2% 16.8% 17.1% 19.8% 10.0%
Philip Oasis 2.0% 2.5% 4.8% 6.7% 8.0% 11.7% 16.1% 23.8% 24.4%
MaryEllen Markuske 1.6% 1.7% 3.0% 3.9% 5.4% 6.9% 11.2% 18.7% 47.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.