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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.65vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.19+0.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.85vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.88-0.43vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.07vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.23-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.74-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of California at Los Angeles1.3016.9%1st Place
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2.17Stanford University2.1941.1%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Berkeley0.737.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Hawaii1.059.2%1st Place
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4.57University of Rhode Island0.887.8%1st Place
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6.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.2%1st Place
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5.49Western Washington University0.235.5%1st Place
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4.79University of Washington0.748.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 16.9% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 41.1% | 26.4% | 16.4% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 11.9% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 9.2% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 6.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 7.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% |
| Florence Duff | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 36.5% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 19.6% | 21.7% |
| Erin Pamplin | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.