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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.49vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46-0.05vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.57+1.52vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.29+0.90vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.24-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland0.83-0.22vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.70-0.96vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.22-1.19vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-0.27-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.3%1st Place
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1.95Georgetown University3.460.4%1st Place
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4.52Christopher Newport University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.9William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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4.95Cornell University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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6.04Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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6.81Princeton University0.220.0%1st Place
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7.56St. John's College-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 28.6% | 28.6% | 21.6% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katia DaSilva | 43.2% | 32.9% | 14.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 6.9% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Scott Guinn | 5.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Alex Gatto | 5.8% | 7.2% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Sarah Hamm | 3.5% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 8.9% |
| Ted Wingender | 3.1% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 20.0% | 10.0% |
| Philip Oasis | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 24.6% |
| MaryEllen Markuske | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.