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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+2.42vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.23+2.41vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.88-1.49vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.74-2.13vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Stanford University2.1939.4%1st Place
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4.42University of Hawaii1.0510.0%1st Place
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5.41Western Washington University0.236.3%1st Place
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3.56University of California at Los Angeles1.3015.4%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Berkeley0.737.8%1st Place
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4.51University of Rhode Island0.889.7%1st Place
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4.87University of Washington0.747.5%1st Place
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6.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 39.4% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 6.6% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 20.6% | 20.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 15.4% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 9.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 10.6% |
| Florence Duff | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.