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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.88+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.01vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.23-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.74-2.04vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Stanford University3.3062.2%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.0%1st Place
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4.55University of Hawaii1.056.3%1st Place
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4.59University of Rhode Island0.886.2%1st Place
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4.99University of California at Berkeley0.734.2%1st Place
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5.58Western Washington University0.233.5%1st Place
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4.96University of Washington0.744.5%1st Place
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6.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 62.2% | 25.4% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.0% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.3% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 7.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.2% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 8.9% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.2% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 21.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.5% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 11.6% |
| Florence Duff | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.