← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.46+0.81vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+0.42vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.57+1.16vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University1.24+0.71vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary1.29-0.42vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland0.83-0.70vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University0.22-0.74vs Predicted
-
8St. John's College-0.27-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.81Georgetown University3.460.5%1st Place
-
2.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.3%1st Place
-
4.16Christopher Newport University1.570.1%1st Place
-
4.71Cornell University1.240.1%1st Place
-
4.58William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
-
5.3University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
-
6.26Princeton University0.220.0%1st Place
-
6.78St. John's College-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 49.9% | 28.8% | 14.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 25.2% | 34.8% | 21.5% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 7.4% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Alex Gatto | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 4.2% |
| Scott Guinn | 5.4% | 7.5% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Hamm | 4.1% | 3.7% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 12.5% |
| Philip Oasis | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 26.1% | 30.5% |
| MaryEllen Markuske | 0.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 23.1% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.