Race 4B

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Katia DaSilva 48.7% 28.7% 13.6% 6.2% 1.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Don Hause III 23.7% 32.4% 20.9% 12.4% 6.6% 2.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 5.1% 7.2% 12.2% 16.5% 16.3% 16.6% 13.5% 9.2% 3.4%
Philip Oasis 1.6% 2.4% 4.4% 8.2% 9.6% 12.1% 16.4% 21.4% 23.9%
Alex Gatto 5.2% 9.1% 14.1% 14.5% 15.6% 14.4% 13.4% 9.3% 4.4%
Richard Ross 7.5% 9.3% 16.9% 18.7% 17.7% 14.5% 9.7% 4.1% 1.6%
Sarah Hamm 3.3% 4.7% 7.4% 11.2% 13.9% 15.9% 17.6% 18.2% 7.8%
Ted Wingender 3.3% 4.1% 7.9% 8.4% 13.4% 16.5% 16.1% 17.0% 13.3%
MaryEllen Markuske 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 3.9% 5.3% 6.7% 11.6% 20.6% 45.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.