Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stewart Gurnell 14.9% 14.0% 15.8% 13.5% 13.5% 10.0% 9.3% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Valerio Palamara 13.6% 13.6% 12.8% 12.7% 12.0% 12.5% 9.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Elizabeth van der Voort 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 3.6% 4.6% 6.2% 11.7% 16.4% 20.1% 20.6% 6.7%
Connor Mraz 16.5% 14.2% 14.7% 13.4% 11.6% 12.3% 8.0% 5.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 15.3% 16.5% 14.3% 14.6% 11.8% 9.7% 8.1% 5.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Pearce Bragaw 1.5% 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 5.0% 5.9% 9.5% 14.6% 20.4% 24.6% 7.9%
Andrew Montague 10.7% 12.1% 11.1% 10.3% 11.3% 11.2% 10.9% 11.2% 6.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Brian Fox 13.9% 12.3% 12.3% 12.7% 13.2% 12.2% 9.8% 8.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Brendan Strein 2.5% 3.5% 4.2% 5.2% 5.9% 7.1% 10.7% 12.8% 17.2% 16.0% 12.3% 2.6%
Alexa Whitman 6.7% 6.2% 7.4% 8.4% 9.2% 10.4% 13.1% 13.9% 13.1% 8.2% 3.1% 0.3%
Kasym Qazi 1.8% 2.9% 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% 4.2% 6.5% 8.9% 13.2% 19.5% 25.8% 8.9%
Raymond Shattuck 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 2.6% 6.3% 11.0% 73.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.