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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.46+0.85vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.57+2.57vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.29+1.87vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-1.60vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.22+1.48vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland0.83-0.39vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.24-2.07vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.70-2.15vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-1.46-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Georgetown University3.460.5%1st Place
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4.57Christopher Newport University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.87William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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2.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.3%1st Place
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6.48Princeton University0.220.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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4.93Cornell University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.85Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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8.44St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 48.0% | 29.7% | 14.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 5.0% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Scott Guinn | 5.4% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 8.4% | 1.1% |
| Don Hause III | 27.8% | 33.4% | 21.1% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Oasis | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 29.8% | 11.9% |
| Sarah Hamm | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 21.3% | 15.9% | 2.3% |
| Alex Gatto | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 0.9% |
| Ted Wingender | 3.2% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 20.6% | 5.2% |
| Branham Talton | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 9.4% | 77.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.