Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Connor Mraz 14.8% 15.8% 13.7% 13.6% 13.0% 10.8% 8.4% 5.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 16.3% 15.1% 15.0% 12.8% 11.4% 11.7% 7.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Brian Fox 12.4% 12.7% 12.7% 14.0% 12.3% 11.1% 10.4% 7.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Stewart Gurnell 15.8% 15.6% 14.5% 13.9% 12.8% 9.8% 8.5% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Valerio Palamara 14.5% 11.8% 14.8% 11.8% 13.2% 10.9% 10.0% 7.3% 3.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Montague 9.8% 11.1% 11.6% 10.8% 11.7% 11.5% 11.2% 11.0% 7.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Alexa Whitman 5.5% 7.1% 6.7% 8.1% 8.0% 11.5% 13.6% 14.2% 12.0% 9.1% 4.0% 0.4%
Brendan Strein 4.3% 3.9% 4.2% 5.1% 5.6% 7.0% 10.0% 12.8% 16.9% 15.6% 12.3% 2.4%
Pearce Bragaw 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 3.2% 3.3% 4.5% 7.8% 8.6% 14.8% 20.3% 23.9% 7.9%
Kasym Qazi 2.5% 2.4% 2.2% 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 8.6% 13.4% 20.1% 27.4% 8.2%
Elizabeth van der Voort 1.8% 2.5% 2.4% 3.8% 4.5% 5.7% 6.5% 10.4% 17.3% 19.1% 19.8% 6.3%
Raymond Shattuck 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 6.0% 10.2% 74.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.