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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.48vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46-0.05vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.22+3.67vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.83+1.54vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.24-0.20vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.29-1.13vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.57-2.62vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-1.46+0.45vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College0.70-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.3%1st Place
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1.95Georgetown University3.460.4%1st Place
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6.67Princeton University0.220.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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4.8Cornell University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.87William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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4.38Christopher Newport University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.45St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.85Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 28.7% | 28.1% | 22.2% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katia DaSilva | 42.6% | 34.0% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Oasis | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 35.2% | 10.6% |
| Sarah Hamm | 3.7% | 4.2% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 3.3% |
| Alex Gatto | 5.8% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Scott Guinn | 6.1% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Richard Ross | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Branham Talton | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 10.0% | 77.7% |
| Ted Wingender | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 19.4% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.