Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Connor Mraz 17.2% 15.4% 14.1% 13.7% 11.8% 10.4% 9.4% 4.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Brian Fox 13.5% 12.5% 13.0% 12.6% 13.1% 11.6% 10.2% 7.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 15.8% 15.2% 14.8% 12.4% 11.9% 11.2% 8.6% 5.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Pearce Bragaw 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 3.1% 2.8% 4.2% 5.9% 11.2% 13.6% 20.9% 24.6% 8.2%
Stewart Gurnell 16.4% 14.1% 14.9% 13.8% 11.9% 10.2% 9.0% 5.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Valerio Palamara 12.0% 13.2% 13.5% 13.7% 12.5% 12.2% 10.1% 6.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Brendan Strein 3.0% 4.1% 4.3% 5.0% 5.9% 6.3% 8.8% 13.2% 18.2% 16.7% 12.3% 2.2%
Andrew Montague 9.6% 12.3% 11.5% 11.4% 11.9% 12.7% 12.2% 9.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Alexa Whitman 6.3% 6.6% 6.2% 7.6% 9.7% 11.2% 12.0% 14.9% 13.3% 8.1% 3.5% 0.6%
Elizabeth van der Voort 2.1% 2.4% 3.5% 3.4% 4.0% 5.2% 6.7% 10.9% 15.1% 20.0% 19.1% 7.6%
Kasym Qazi 2.1% 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 3.6% 3.9% 5.8% 9.8% 14.1% 19.1% 26.7% 8.3%
Raymond Shattuck 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 6.8% 11.1% 72.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.