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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.43+5.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+2.72vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.34+3.72vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.40+4.57vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.08-0.52vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.00-1.20vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.25+0.96vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.20-0.99vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-3.43vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.07-2.07vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.45-2.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.21-4.98vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Tufts University0.438.6%1st Place
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4.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0114.2%1st Place
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6.72University of Rhode Island0.346.8%1st Place
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8.57University of Vermont-0.403.5%1st Place
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4.48Brown University1.0816.1%1st Place
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4.8Northeastern University1.0013.9%1st Place
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7.96Boston University0.255.0%1st Place
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7.01Northwestern University0.205.6%1st Place
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5.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.8210.1%1st Place
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7.93Harvard University-0.074.9%1st Place
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8.61Princeton University-0.454.2%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Naval Academy0.215.9%1st Place
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11.34University of California at Los Angeles-1.611.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patricia Winssinger | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Tomas Riccio | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Pierson Falk | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| William Gear | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 9.7% |
| Julian Dahiya | 16.1% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 6.3% |
| Charles Crowell | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Karya Basaraner | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 5.9% |
| Berkley Yiu | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 9.8% |
| Ethan Martin | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| John Flanagan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.