Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Connor Mraz 15.3% 15.2% 16.1% 14.1% 12.2% 9.3% 7.8% 5.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Brian Fox 12.3% 12.9% 13.5% 11.4% 13.1% 13.4% 10.6% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 13.9% 14.2% 14.5% 15.2% 12.3% 11.3% 7.8% 5.9% 3.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 16.7% 15.4% 13.9% 13.1% 11.6% 10.2% 8.6% 5.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 13.5% 13.8% 13.0% 12.7% 12.6% 11.7% 10.0% 7.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Montague 12.0% 10.9% 10.3% 11.2% 10.6% 13.2% 11.9% 9.6% 6.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Brendan Strein 3.8% 3.8% 4.2% 4.8% 5.5% 7.2% 9.2% 14.0% 15.0% 17.4% 12.5% 2.5%
Pearce Bragaw 2.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.7% 4.2% 4.0% 6.1% 8.8% 15.6% 20.2% 24.4% 7.1%
Alexa Whitman 6.2% 6.0% 7.4% 8.2% 9.8% 10.3% 13.8% 14.2% 12.2% 8.1% 3.6% 0.2%
Elizabeth van der Voort 1.6% 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 4.2% 4.3% 7.0% 11.1% 16.2% 20.2% 20.3% 6.8%
Kasym Qazi 2.2% 2.5% 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 6.0% 9.3% 13.9% 18.4% 26.3% 8.6%
Raymond Shattuck 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 3.4% 6.0% 10.7% 74.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.