← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.46vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.46-0.08vs Predicted
-
3William and Mary1.29+1.94vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University1.57+0.28vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University0.22+1.46vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland0.83-0.37vs Predicted
-
7Ocean County College0.70-1.09vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.24-3.06vs Predicted
-
9St. John's College-1.46-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.3%1st Place
-
1.92Georgetown University3.460.4%1st Place
-
4.94William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
-
4.28Christopher Newport University1.570.1%1st Place
-
6.46Princeton University0.220.0%1st Place
-
5.63University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
-
5.91Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
-
4.94Cornell University1.240.1%1st Place
-
8.46St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 28.7% | 29.1% | 21.9% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katia DaSilva | 44.2% | 32.4% | 14.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 4.7% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 1.2% |
| Richard Ross | 8.5% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Philip Oasis | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 30.3% | 11.6% |
| Sarah Hamm | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 2.5% |
| Ted Wingender | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 22.6% | 19.6% | 4.8% |
| Alex Gatto | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 1.4% |
| Branham Talton | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 77.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.