Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Connor Mraz 15.3% 14.3% 15.0% 14.3% 11.9% 10.1% 8.2% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 15.8% 14.8% 13.9% 13.3% 12.9% 11.9% 8.5% 5.2% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 14.6% 15.4% 13.3% 13.2% 12.2% 10.3% 10.3% 6.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Brian Fox 14.0% 13.4% 12.6% 11.7% 12.2% 12.4% 10.0% 6.7% 4.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Andrew Montague 10.8% 11.7% 13.2% 11.1% 11.6% 11.5% 10.4% 9.6% 6.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Alexa Whitman 6.5% 5.8% 6.5% 9.3% 9.6% 10.9% 12.7% 12.6% 12.3% 9.3% 3.9% 0.7%
Valerio Palamara 12.8% 13.4% 13.4% 13.6% 12.2% 12.0% 10.4% 6.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Brendan Strein 4.5% 3.9% 4.0% 5.1% 6.6% 5.8% 9.4% 14.2% 16.6% 16.1% 11.8% 2.0%
Pearce Bragaw 2.0% 1.9% 2.7% 3.0% 3.4% 4.7% 6.9% 10.5% 14.9% 18.9% 23.2% 7.9%
Kasym Qazi 1.5% 2.6% 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 4.2% 5.9% 8.6% 13.8% 21.9% 25.7% 8.2%
Elizabeth van der Voort 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.3% 4.0% 5.4% 6.4% 10.5% 16.7% 18.6% 21.8% 7.2%
Raymond Shattuck 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 2.2% 3.2% 5.3% 11.5% 73.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.