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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.45vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.24+3.14vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.57+1.43vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.29+0.74vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.22+1.48vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.46-4.18vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.70-1.10vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland0.83-2.38vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-1.46-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.3%1st Place
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5.14Cornell University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.43Christopher Newport University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.74William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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6.48Princeton University0.220.0%1st Place
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1.82Georgetown University3.460.5%1st Place
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5.9Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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8.43St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 26.4% | 33.1% | 21.2% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Gatto | 3.1% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 2.2% |
| Richard Ross | 6.1% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Scott Guinn | 6.2% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 1.2% |
| Philip Oasis | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 30.7% | 10.7% |
| Katia DaSilva | 49.9% | 28.8% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Hamm | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 4.1% |
| Branham Talton | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 76.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.