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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.22vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.48+0.87vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.57+1.28vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.29+0.65vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.24-0.32vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.70-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.83-1.44vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-1.46+0.44vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.22-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.4%1st Place
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2.87Georgetown University2.480.2%1st Place
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4.28Christopher Newport University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.65William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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4.68Cornell University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.78Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Maryland0.830.1%1st Place
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8.44St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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6.52Princeton University0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 38.8% | 26.9% | 17.4% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Oldroyd | 23.8% | 24.7% | 20.6% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Richard Ross | 8.7% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Scott Guinn | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 7.6% | 1.0% |
| Alex Gatto | 8.0% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% |
| Ted Wingender | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 4.4% |
| Sarah Hamm | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 3.2% |
| Branham Talton | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 78.9% |
| Philip Oasis | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 33.4% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.