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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.21+3.47vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.12+2.13vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66+0.98vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.87-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.79-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.81+2.29vs Predicted
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7Hampton University1.47-2.73vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.71vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.19-2.97vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.96-1.65vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.69-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Christopher Newport University1.2112.2%1st Place
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4.13Drexel University1.1215.2%1st Place
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3.98Washington College1.6615.2%1st Place
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3.91Princeton University1.8717.5%1st Place
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4.82University of Virginia0.7910.9%1st Place
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8.29University of Delaware-0.811.6%1st Place
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4.27Hampton University1.4715.0%1st Place
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7.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.283.0%1st Place
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6.03Syracuse University0.197.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Rochester-0.961.8%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Military Academy-2.690.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Brian Fox | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Toby Sullivan | 15.2% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Stewart Gurnell | 15.2% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Connor Mraz | 17.5% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Andrew Montague | 10.9% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Pearce Bragaw | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 22.4% | 31.2% | 8.6% |
Valerio Palamara | 15.0% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Brendan Strein | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 18.3% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 3.5% |
Alexa Whitman | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
Kasym Qazi | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 23.5% | 30.6% | 9.3% |
Raymond Shattuck | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 10.9% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.