Race 10B

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Don Hause III 38.0% 27.6% 15.5% 11.3% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah Hamm 3.4% 4.6% 7.7% 10.5% 13.2% 18.6% 19.7% 19.3% 3.0%
Samuel Oldroyd 25.4% 25.6% 19.5% 14.2% 9.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Ross 10.2% 13.1% 18.5% 15.5% 17.0% 11.4% 10.1% 4.1% 0.1%
Alex Gatto 7.5% 10.7% 14.4% 14.5% 13.9% 16.0% 12.5% 8.9% 1.6%
Scott Guinn 7.7% 8.8% 12.8% 16.4% 17.4% 15.9% 12.1% 7.9% 1.0%
Branham Talton 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 2.1% 2.9% 4.2% 10.8% 77.5%
Philip Oasis 2.7% 3.8% 4.5% 6.5% 7.7% 12.9% 19.7% 29.6% 12.6%
Ted Wingender 4.6% 5.2% 6.5% 10.3% 13.7% 16.1% 20.1% 19.3% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.