← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Brian Fox 12.2% 14.0% 12.9% 12.4% 13.6% 12.4% 9.8% 7.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.1%
Toby Sullivan 15.2% 13.7% 13.4% 15.6% 13.2% 12.2% 8.1% 6.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 15.2% 17.1% 15.1% 13.8% 11.9% 10.7% 8.7% 4.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Connor Mraz 17.5% 15.7% 13.7% 14.8% 13.2% 10.2% 8.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Montague 10.9% 10.9% 13.1% 11.0% 12.3% 13.0% 12.3% 9.2% 5.7% 1.5% 0.0%
Pearce Bragaw 1.6% 2.2% 3.2% 3.0% 4.2% 4.3% 7.2% 12.0% 22.4% 31.2% 8.6%
Valerio Palamara 15.0% 15.0% 12.7% 11.8% 12.3% 11.6% 11.7% 6.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Brendan Strein 3.0% 3.5% 4.8% 5.3% 6.2% 9.0% 10.0% 18.3% 19.7% 16.7% 3.5%
Alexa Whitman 7.1% 6.1% 7.5% 8.7% 8.7% 11.7% 15.2% 15.8% 12.8% 5.4% 1.0%
Kasym Qazi 1.8% 1.5% 3.2% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 7.0% 11.7% 23.5% 30.6% 9.3%
Raymond Shattuck 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 1.7% 2.9% 4.5% 10.9% 77.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.