Race 8A

grant

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stewart Gurnell 17.5% 14.8% 14.6% 13.8% 11.9% 11.1% 9.2% 4.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Brian Fox 13.3% 12.2% 12.5% 13.8% 13.6% 12.0% 10.5% 7.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Toby Sullivan 15.2% 15.2% 16.4% 13.3% 12.6% 11.2% 8.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Montague 11.6% 11.2% 11.3% 11.8% 11.8% 13.2% 13.6% 8.6% 4.8% 2.1% 0.2%
Valerio Palamara 13.7% 14.8% 13.5% 13.9% 12.2% 12.8% 9.8% 5.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Brendan Strein 4.2% 4.3% 4.5% 5.9% 7.0% 8.0% 11.2% 16.3% 20.3% 15.3% 2.9%
Alexa Whitman 5.9% 7.5% 7.1% 8.5% 9.6% 11.6% 15.0% 16.8% 13.2% 4.3% 0.6%
Connor Mraz 14.8% 15.6% 15.2% 13.7% 14.0% 10.3% 7.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Pearce Bragaw 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 3.3% 4.5% 6.6% 14.1% 21.7% 32.2% 9.1%
Kasym Qazi 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 2.5% 3.2% 4.2% 6.7% 12.8% 23.4% 31.2% 9.4%
Raymond Shattuck 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 4.2% 11.8% 77.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.