Race 11B

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alex Gatto 6.9% 7.6% 11.8% 12.5% 13.4% 15.6% 15.8% 11.5% 4.9%
Don Hause III 33.3% 27.7% 17.2% 10.7% 6.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Richard Ross 9.6% 11.7% 13.3% 14.7% 16.0% 13.6% 10.8% 7.6% 2.7%
Samuel Oldroyd 25.1% 25.5% 19.0% 13.5% 8.8% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.3%
Sarah Hamm 4.3% 6.9% 8.5% 11.7% 11.9% 12.4% 14.3% 17.9% 12.1%
Scott Guinn 8.5% 8.1% 10.5% 14.4% 13.8% 17.1% 13.9% 9.3% 4.4%
Ted Wingender 3.9% 4.4% 5.8% 8.6% 10.8% 13.1% 16.7% 22.3% 14.4%
MaryEllen Markuske 1.8% 1.5% 3.6% 3.4% 4.1% 5.1% 9.2% 17.1% 54.2%
Gavin Schlissel 6.6% 6.6% 10.3% 10.5% 14.3% 14.8% 16.2% 13.8% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.