Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joshua Bendura 18.6% 17.1% 15.6% 15.0% 11.5% 9.8% 6.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Iain Shand 11.0% 12.2% 13.0% 12.7% 13.2% 12.4% 11.7% 7.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.3%
Stefano Palamara 19.9% 19.1% 17.0% 14.2% 12.3% 7.5% 5.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Asher Green 19.9% 18.5% 16.9% 12.6% 12.0% 8.8% 6.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Sam Dutilly 5.5% 6.7% 6.5% 9.1% 9.1% 12.3% 13.2% 14.8% 12.4% 8.3% 2.1%
Jessica Schaefer 3.4% 3.5% 4.8% 4.8% 6.3% 8.0% 8.6% 14.3% 18.4% 18.9% 8.9%
Joseph Bonacci 9.6% 9.8% 9.5% 11.1% 13.2% 13.4% 14.1% 9.7% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7%
Collin Ross 3.2% 3.1% 4.5% 5.8% 6.0% 7.8% 11.2% 12.4% 17.2% 19.4% 9.7%
Maxwell Penders 6.5% 6.8% 8.6% 9.4% 10.8% 13.1% 13.2% 13.4% 11.2% 5.6% 1.5%
Ethan Deutsch 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 3.6% 3.9% 5.1% 7.2% 12.5% 18.9% 26.2% 15.2%
Gabriel Kunze 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 3.5% 4.8% 6.8% 16.0% 61.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.