Race 12B

tom-curtis-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Richard Ross 9.8% 11.3% 14.1% 13.7% 16.9% 15.6% 9.1% 7.3% 2.2%
Alex Gatto 5.4% 7.9% 10.0% 12.4% 16.5% 14.0% 14.6% 13.3% 5.9%
Don Hause III 37.0% 26.2% 17.6% 10.4% 5.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Samuel Oldroyd 24.2% 26.2% 18.0% 14.7% 8.8% 5.4% 2.2% 0.1% 0.4%
Sarah Hamm 4.3% 6.4% 8.8% 11.3% 12.4% 11.5% 15.4% 17.9% 12.0%
Scott Guinn 6.8% 9.3% 12.5% 12.7% 14.3% 15.5% 15.4% 9.3% 4.2%
Ted Wingender 4.4% 4.2% 6.3% 7.4% 9.9% 14.1% 17.7% 21.9% 14.1%
MaryEllen Markuske 1.6% 1.8% 3.1% 4.3% 3.3% 5.8% 9.0% 16.9% 54.2%
Gavin Schlissel 6.5% 6.7% 9.6% 13.1% 12.1% 16.0% 15.9% 13.1% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.