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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College1.69+2.37vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.80+1.25vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.48-0.61vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30-1.38vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.71-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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3.25Bates College1.800.1%1st Place
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2.39Northeastern University2.480.3%1st Place
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2.62Tufts University2.300.3%1st Place
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3.37Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johannes Raatz | 13.7% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 23.6% | 28.6% |
| John Cappetta | 13.8% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 21.7% | 24.9% |
| Becker Awqatty | 32.0% | 25.7% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 7.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 26.6% | 23.8% | 21.1% | 18.4% | 10.1% |
| Mike Brendlinger | 13.9% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 22.2% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.