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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+2.77vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+1.52vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.84+0.55vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.47+0.43vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.18+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.34-0.11vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+0.67vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.19-2.82vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.99-1.40vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.26-1.73vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.37-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Christopher Newport University0.7316.0%1st Place
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3.52Hampton University0.7221.0%1st Place
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3.55Princeton University0.8420.8%1st Place
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4.43Drexel University0.4713.7%1st Place
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6.23William and Mary-0.185.3%1st Place
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5.89University of Virginia-0.346.2%1st Place
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7.67SUNY Stony Brook-0.683.1%1st Place
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5.18Washington College0.198.5%1st Place
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7.6Syracuse University-0.992.7%1st Place
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8.27University of Delaware-1.261.8%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Military Academy-2.370.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Joshua Bendura | 16.0% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Stefano Palamara | 21.0% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Asher Green | 20.8% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Iain Shand | 13.7% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Sam Dutilly | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 1.8% |
Maxwell Penders | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
Jessica Schaefer | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 9.6% |
Joseph Bonacci | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Collin Ross | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 20.0% | 9.2% |
Ethan Deutsch | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 27.6% | 14.6% |
Gabriel Kunze | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.