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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+2.58vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.47+2.51vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.84+0.57vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.73-0.33vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.19+0.14vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.18+0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.26+1.30vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-0.41vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.34-3.17vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.99-2.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.37-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Hampton University0.7219.1%1st Place
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4.51Drexel University0.4712.5%1st Place
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3.57Princeton University0.8419.4%1st Place
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3.67Christopher Newport University0.7318.2%1st Place
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5.14Washington College0.1910.0%1st Place
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6.26William and Mary-0.185.6%1st Place
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8.3University of Delaware-1.261.8%1st Place
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7.59SUNY Stony Brook-0.683.5%1st Place
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5.83University of Virginia-0.346.3%1st Place
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7.65Syracuse University-0.992.8%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Military Academy-2.370.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Stefano Palamara | 19.1% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Iain Shand | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Asher Green | 19.4% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Joshua Bendura | 18.2% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Joseph Bonacci | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
Sam Dutilly | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
Ethan Deutsch | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 26.8% | 16.1% |
Jessica Schaefer | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 8.8% |
Maxwell Penders | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
Collin Ross | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 20.4% | 8.9% |
Gabriel Kunze | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.