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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.92vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+4.56vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+8.27vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+7.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+5.15vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+4.79vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.93+3.94vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.28vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87+1.81vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.91+0.74vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.25vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.51-3.86vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-1.16vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.82-2.92vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.28-5.96vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.83-0.67vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.58-4.92vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-7.53vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.48-11.05vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College2.29-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.19Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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10.79Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.94College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.81Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.74Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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13.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.14Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.84Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.08Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.04Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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15.33Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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12.08Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.71Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Haley Powell | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Kayla Gibson | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Sky Adams | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 30.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.