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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.46+3.68vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+1.61vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.47+1.79vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.19+1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.34+1.20vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73-2.08vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+0.94vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.51-1.08vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.18-2.29vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.01-4.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.37-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Princeton University0.4612.5%1st Place
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3.61Hampton University0.7220.8%1st Place
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4.79Drexel University0.4710.2%1st Place
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5.35Washington College0.199.5%1st Place
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6.2University of Virginia-0.346.7%1st Place
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3.92Christopher Newport University0.7318.1%1st Place
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7.94SUNY Stony Brook-0.682.7%1st Place
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6.92University of Delaware-0.514.9%1st Place
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6.71William and Mary-0.185.2%1st Place
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5.83Syracuse University0.018.5%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Military Academy-2.370.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Ossian Kamal | 12.5% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Stefano Palamara | 20.8% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Iain Shand | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
Joseph Bonacci | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
Maxwell Penders | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 2.6% |
Joshua Bendura | 18.1% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Jessica Schaefer | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 27.2% | 12.3% |
David Berson | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 5.3% |
Sam Dutilly | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 4.9% |
Shay Gualdoni | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
Gabriel Kunze | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 10.7% | 71.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.