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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.43+5.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+2.74vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.08+1.41vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.34+2.66vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.00-0.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-0.48vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.20+0.10vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-0.07-0.08vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.25-0.89vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.21-3.17vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.40-2.52vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.45-3.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Tufts University0.439.2%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0114.0%1st Place
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4.41Brown University1.0814.8%1st Place
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6.66University of Rhode Island0.347.8%1st Place
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4.82Northeastern University1.0014.1%1st Place
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5.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.8210.8%1st Place
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7.1Northwestern University0.206.3%1st Place
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7.92Harvard University-0.074.3%1st Place
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8.11Boston University0.253.8%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Naval Academy0.216.9%1st Place
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8.48University of Vermont-0.403.8%1st Place
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8.59Princeton University-0.453.5%1st Place
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11.43University of California at Los Angeles-1.610.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patricia Winssinger | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Tomas Riccio | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Julian Dahiya | 14.8% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Pierson Falk | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Karya Basaraner | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Charles Crowell | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 5.6% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 6.5% |
| Ethan Martin | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| William Gear | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 10.6% |
| Berkley Yiu | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 9.9% |
| John Flanagan | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.