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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.00vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+1.80vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-0.16vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.66-1.72vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.85-0.22vs Predicted
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7American University1.85-2.27vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.77-1.72vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.82-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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3.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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2.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.2%1st Place
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2.28U. S. Naval Academy3.660.4%1st Place
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4.78Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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4.73American University1.850.1%1st Place
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7.28Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
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7.29Drexel University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Steel | 20.2% | 23.0% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 5.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Boger | 11.0% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 14.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Zacher | 22.3% | 22.5% | 24.0% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 35.1% | 26.9% | 20.2% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 23.6% | 33.1% | 8.0% | 0.4% |
| Russell Gasdia | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 22.2% | 32.2% | 7.7% | 0.6% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 38.9% | 50.7% |
| Kelsey Gibbons | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 42.2% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.