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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.46+3.63vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.47+2.76vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.01+2.83vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.51+2.98vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.34+1.26vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73-2.08vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.72-3.39vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.19-2.56vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-1.07vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.18-3.47vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.37-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Princeton University0.4613.2%1st Place
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4.76Drexel University0.4711.7%1st Place
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5.83Syracuse University0.017.9%1st Place
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6.98University of Delaware-0.514.5%1st Place
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6.26University of Virginia-0.346.6%1st Place
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3.92Christopher Newport University0.7316.7%1st Place
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3.61Hampton University0.7220.5%1st Place
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5.44Washington College0.199.6%1st Place
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7.93SUNY Stony Brook-0.683.3%1st Place
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6.53William and Mary-0.185.9%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Military Academy-2.370.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Ossian Kamal | 13.2% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
Iain Shand | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
Shay Gualdoni | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
David Berson | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 5.3% |
Maxwell Penders | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 3.0% |
Joshua Bendura | 16.7% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Stefano Palamara | 20.5% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Joseph Bonacci | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
Jessica Schaefer | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 28.3% | 12.0% |
Sam Dutilly | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 4.2% |
Gabriel Kunze | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 11.7% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.