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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jessica Schaefer 3.6% 4.0% 5.5% 7.4% 8.6% 16.9% 22.2% 23.2% 8.5%
Asher Green 22.7% 20.9% 18.9% 15.2% 13.0% 5.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Joshua Bendura 20.1% 20.8% 18.4% 15.8% 12.4% 8.2% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 23.5% 20.3% 18.9% 16.7% 11.6% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Collin Ross 3.4% 4.1% 5.1% 5.8% 9.1% 16.7% 22.9% 22.8% 10.2%
Joseph Bonacci 10.2% 12.1% 12.7% 14.8% 17.9% 16.4% 10.4% 4.9% 0.6%
Iain Shand 13.5% 14.3% 16.1% 17.1% 17.2% 12.6% 7.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Ethan Deutsch 2.1% 2.6% 3.5% 5.5% 7.3% 11.2% 20.2% 29.6% 17.9%
Gabriel Kunze 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 2.9% 5.8% 8.6% 15.8% 62.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.