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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+5.20vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.84+1.08vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.73+0.22vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72-0.97vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.99+1.30vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.19-1.63vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.47-3.13vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.26-1.17vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-2.37-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2SUNY Stony Brook-0.683.6%1st Place
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3.08Princeton University0.8422.7%1st Place
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3.22Christopher Newport University0.7320.1%1st Place
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3.03Hampton University0.7223.5%1st Place
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6.3Syracuse University-0.993.4%1st Place
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4.37Washington College0.1910.2%1st Place
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3.87Drexel University0.4713.5%1st Place
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6.83University of Delaware-1.262.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Military Academy-2.370.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jessica Schaefer | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 22.2% | 23.2% | 8.5% |
Asher Green | 22.7% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Joshua Bendura | 20.1% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Stefano Palamara | 23.5% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Collin Ross | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 22.9% | 22.8% | 10.2% |
Joseph Bonacci | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
Iain Shand | 13.5% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Ethan Deutsch | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 20.2% | 29.6% | 17.9% |
Gabriel Kunze | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.