← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University0.84+2.11vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.73+1.20vs Predicted
-
3Washington College0.19+1.27vs Predicted
-
4University of Delaware-1.26+2.74vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University0.47-1.12vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+0.23vs Predicted
-
7Hampton University0.72-3.93vs Predicted
-
8Syracuse University-0.99-1.61vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Military Academy-2.37-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.11Princeton University0.8422.7%1st Place
-
3.2Christopher Newport University0.7321.1%1st Place
-
4.27Washington College0.1910.8%1st Place
-
6.74University of Delaware-1.262.5%1st Place
-
3.88Drexel University0.4712.7%1st Place
-
6.23SUNY Stony Brook-0.683.6%1st Place
-
3.07Hampton University0.7222.4%1st Place
-
6.39Syracuse University-0.993.4%1st Place
-
8.12U. S. Military Academy-2.370.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asher Green | 22.7% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Joshua Bendura | 21.1% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Joseph Bonacci | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
Ethan Deutsch | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 19.0% | 28.7% | 16.8% |
Iain Shand | 12.7% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
Jessica Schaefer | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 23.9% | 20.9% | 9.5% |
Stefano Palamara | 22.4% | 22.2% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Collin Ross | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 25.9% | 10.3% |
Gabriel Kunze | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.