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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+2.28vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.09+1.13vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.06+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-0.16vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.76+0.65vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.69-0.50vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.43-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Rhode Island1.0521.0%1st Place
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3.13College of Charleston1.0920.2%1st Place
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3.17University of Vermont1.0620.2%1st Place
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3.08University of Rhode Island0.9922.6%1st Place
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5.69University of New Hampshire-0.384.5%1st Place
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5.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.524.0%1st Place
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7.65Middlebury College-1.761.1%1st Place
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7.5Middlebury College-1.691.4%1st Place
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5.67Fairfield University-0.434.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 21.0% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Polek | 20.2% | 21.4% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 20.2% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 22.6% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lund | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 5.6% |
| Marshall Rodes | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 21.0% | 14.9% | 7.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 12.8% | 24.6% | 44.0% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 28.3% | 37.3% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 21.7% | 14.5% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.