← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.83+5.53vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.48+6.10vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.74+4.03vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.93+6.61vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.82+6.05vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.28+3.03vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.99+3.61vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.02+2.01vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College2.91+1.60vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.81+1.20vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.51-2.96vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.92-1.08vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.54vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.74-2.55vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-7.08vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.83-0.66vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.04vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College2.58-5.59vs Predicted
-
19Connecticut College2.29-5.46vs Predicted
-
20Old Dominion University2.87-8.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.53Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
8.1Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.03Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.61College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
-
11.05Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.03Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
10.61University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
10.01University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
-
10.6Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
-
11.2Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
8.04Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
10.92Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
-
13.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
11.45Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
-
15.34Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
10.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
12.41Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
13.54Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
-
11.09Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Gibson | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Haley Powell | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 30.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.