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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+8.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+7.21vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+5.85vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+5.42vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+0.19vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.51+5.64vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.79vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.47+3.47vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.58vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.52+5.59vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.53+0.50vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.10-6.86vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.25vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.71-3.52vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.71-4.39vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.23-3.34vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.98-7.70vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.83-3.53vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College2.75-8.69vs Predicted
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20Boston University1.11-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.21Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.85Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.19Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.64Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.47Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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15.59University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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11.5Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.14Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.48Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.61Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.66University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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14.47Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.31Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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16.87Boston University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Amy Baxter | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 20.0% | 21.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.3% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 12.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Anna Booras | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.