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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+2.35vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.09+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.99+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.06-0.92vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.76+2.70vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-1.16vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.43-2.29vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.69-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of Rhode Island1.0517.4%1st Place
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3.03College of Charleston1.0923.9%1st Place
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3.12University of Rhode Island0.9920.9%1st Place
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3.08University of Vermont1.0621.8%1st Place
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7.7Middlebury College-1.761.1%1st Place
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5.65University of New Hampshire-0.384.5%1st Place
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5.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.524.2%1st Place
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5.71Fairfield University-0.434.5%1st Place
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7.52Middlebury College-1.691.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 17.4% | 19.4% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Polek | 23.9% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 20.9% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 21.8% | 20.5% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 25.4% | 43.9% |
| Sean Lund | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 20.6% | 19.9% | 14.2% | 5.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 6.5% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 21.8% | 14.1% | 5.7% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 27.1% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.