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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.99+2.15vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.09+1.07vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.06+0.09vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.38+1.70vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+0.87vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.76+1.58vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.43-1.31vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.69-0.41vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.05-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of Rhode Island0.9921.4%1st Place
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3.07College of Charleston1.0922.2%1st Place
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3.09University of Vermont1.0621.4%1st Place
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5.7University of New Hampshire-0.384.6%1st Place
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5.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.524.3%1st Place
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7.58Middlebury College-1.761.5%1st Place
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5.69Fairfield University-0.434.3%1st Place
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7.59Middlebury College-1.691.2%1st Place
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3.26University of Rhode Island1.0518.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 21.4% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Polek | 22.2% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 21.4% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lund | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 12.7% | 6.0% |
| Marshall Rodes | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 21.5% | 17.2% | 5.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 25.4% | 43.1% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 22.1% | 14.6% | 5.0% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 27.5% | 39.8% |
| Adam Strobridge | 18.9% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.