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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.24vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.51+9.51vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+7.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+0.99vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.98+4.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+5.69vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.47+4.98vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+0.28vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.71+1.51vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14-1.33vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.74vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.75-1.33vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-3.40vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.83+0.36vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.52+0.33vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.53-4.68vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.11-0.30vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.23-5.18vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-11.65vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University2.97-10.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.51Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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10.77Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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4.99Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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11.98Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.51Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.67Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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10.67Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.6Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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14.36Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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15.33University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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11.32Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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16.7Boston University1.110.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 14.2% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.4% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Amy Baxter | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 22.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Anna Booras | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 37.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.