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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+2.30vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.38+3.71vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.06+0.14vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+0.85vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.43-0.29vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.09-3.91vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.69-0.52vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.76-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of Rhode Island1.0518.4%1st Place
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5.71University of New Hampshire-0.384.3%1st Place
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3.14University of Vermont1.0620.8%1st Place
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3.05University of Rhode Island0.9923.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.524.2%1st Place
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5.71Fairfield University-0.434.0%1st Place
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3.09College of Charleston1.0922.4%1st Place
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7.48Middlebury College-1.691.2%1st Place
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7.67Middlebury College-1.761.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 18.4% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lund | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 20.3% | 21.6% | 14.1% | 5.7% |
| Ethan Burt | 20.8% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 23.1% | 20.4% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 22.4% | 15.9% | 6.7% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 19.8% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 5.2% |
| John Polek | 22.4% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 25.7% | 39.1% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 26.2% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.