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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.96vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.71+8.62vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+5.81vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.83+10.42vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.52+10.41vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97+3.55vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.78vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.47+3.50vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+2.46vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.71+0.64vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-0.48vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.01-6.60vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.02vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.01-4.81vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.80vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.98-6.57vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.23-4.36vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.11-1.18vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.58-7.90vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-12.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.81Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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14.42Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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15.41University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.78Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.5Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.46Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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10.64Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.52Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.4Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.19Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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12.64University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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16.82Boston University1.110.0%1st Place
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11.1Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 16.1% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 13.9% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 19.1% | 21.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.2% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
| Anna Booras | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 39.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.