← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.05+2.24vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island0.99+1.15vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston1.09+0.08vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.06-0.88vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-1.69+2.55vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-0.15vs Predicted
-
7Fairfield University-0.43-1.26vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire-0.38-2.35vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-1.76-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.24University of Rhode Island1.0519.8%1st Place
-
3.15University of Rhode Island0.9921.2%1st Place
-
3.08College of Charleston1.0922.5%1st Place
-
3.12University of Vermont1.0620.8%1st Place
-
7.55Middlebury College-1.691.6%1st Place
-
5.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.523.6%1st Place
-
5.74Fairfield University-0.434.5%1st Place
-
5.65University of New Hampshire-0.384.8%1st Place
-
7.63Middlebury College-1.761.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 19.8% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 21.2% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 22.5% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 20.8% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 26.4% | 40.5% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 22.3% | 17.5% | 5.5% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 20.9% | 15.2% | 5.5% |
| Sean Lund | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 5.5% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 24.0% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.