← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.05+2.36vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island0.99+1.12vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston1.09+0.09vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University-0.43+1.64vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont1.06-1.84vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.38vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-1.21vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-1.76-0.39vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-1.69-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.36University of Rhode Island1.0519.6%1st Place
-
3.12University of Rhode Island0.9921.3%1st Place
-
3.09College of Charleston1.0922.8%1st Place
-
5.64Fairfield University-0.435.1%1st Place
-
3.16University of Vermont1.0619.7%1st Place
-
5.62University of New Hampshire-0.385.2%1st Place
-
5.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.524.1%1st Place
-
7.61Middlebury College-1.761.4%1st Place
-
7.61Middlebury College-1.690.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 19.6% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 21.3% | 21.4% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Polek | 22.8% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jane Matthews | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 13.8% | 5.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 19.7% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lund | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 20.3% | 14.1% | 5.5% |
| Marshall Rodes | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 22.4% | 15.4% | 6.1% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 26.2% | 42.4% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 27.4% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.