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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.71+9.08vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+6.74vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+5.19vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+0.93vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+4.02vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+3.98vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14+1.30vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-4.11vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23+1.83vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.53-0.29vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-3.09vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.52+2.05vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.33vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-1.23vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.47-5.10vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.75-7.27vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.32-6.35vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-12.03vs Predicted
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20Boston University1.11-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.08Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.93Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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9.02Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.3Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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4.89Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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11.83University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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10.71Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.91Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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15.05University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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13.77Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.9Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.65Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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15.69Boston University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.2% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 25.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 13.1% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Margaret Bacon | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anna Booras | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.