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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+2.26vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.99+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.06+0.05vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.09-0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+0.86vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.76+1.62vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.38-1.29vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.43-2.31vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.69-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26University of Rhode Island1.0518.5%1st Place
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3.12University of Rhode Island0.9920.9%1st Place
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3.05University of Vermont1.0622.9%1st Place
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3.15College of Charleston1.0921.2%1st Place
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5.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.524.0%1st Place
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7.62Middlebury College-1.761.5%1st Place
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5.71University of New Hampshire-0.385.2%1st Place
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5.69Fairfield University-0.434.2%1st Place
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7.54Middlebury College-1.691.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 18.5% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 20.9% | 20.4% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 22.9% | 21.6% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Polek | 21.2% | 19.7% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 16.2% | 6.6% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 23.4% | 44.5% |
| Sean Lund | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 22.0% | 14.3% | 5.4% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 21.1% | 15.3% | 4.4% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 27.7% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.