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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.02vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+1.79vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-0.16vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.85+0.75vs Predicted
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5American University1.85-0.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.66-3.72vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.82-1.69vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.77-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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3.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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2.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.2%1st Place
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4.75Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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4.77American University1.850.0%1st Place
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2.28U. S. Naval Academy3.660.4%1st Place
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7.31Drexel University-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.25Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Steel | 19.3% | 22.8% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 11.6% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 21.3% | 20.9% | 15.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Zacher | 22.9% | 22.5% | 21.3% | 18.5% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 5.3% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 21.7% | 33.9% | 7.8% | 0.4% |
| Russell Gasdia | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 25.1% | 31.3% | 8.2% | 0.5% |
| Jason Carminati | 35.4% | 27.0% | 19.3% | 12.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Gibbons | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 36.1% | 53.8% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 44.8% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.