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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.21+5.89vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+3.71vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.25+5.07vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.20+3.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01-0.40vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.08-1.59vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.40+1.58vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.43-1.72vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-0.07-1.13vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.00-5.26vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.34-4.27vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.45-3.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89U. S. Naval Academy0.215.8%1st Place
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5.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.828.9%1st Place
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8.07Boston University0.254.7%1st Place
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7.0Northwestern University0.207.0%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0115.6%1st Place
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4.41Brown University1.0815.5%1st Place
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8.58University of Vermont-0.404.0%1st Place
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6.28Tufts University0.438.3%1st Place
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7.87Harvard University-0.074.8%1st Place
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4.74Northeastern University1.0014.2%1st Place
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6.73University of Rhode Island0.346.2%1st Place
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8.75Princeton University-0.453.6%1st Place
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11.37University of California at Los Angeles-1.611.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Martin | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Karya Basaraner | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% |
| Charles Crowell | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| Tomas Riccio | 15.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Julian Dahiya | 15.5% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Gear | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 9.3% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 14.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Pierson Falk | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Berkley Yiu | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 10.5% |
| John Flanagan | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.