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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.90vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.13vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.52+12.37vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.71+6.43vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+3.53vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.71+4.57vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.23+5.92vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.75+2.06vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.47+2.40vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97-0.78vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-2.59vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-2.70vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-1.38vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.83+0.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.59vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.51-4.73vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-9.85vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.01-8.79vs Predicted
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19Tufts University2.32-6.91vs Predicted
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20Boston University1.11-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.13Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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15.37University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.53Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.57Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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10.06Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.4Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.22Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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11.62Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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14.23Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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11.27Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.21Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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12.09Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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16.78Boston University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 17.3% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 18.3% | 22.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Amy Baxter | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 13.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Margaret Bacon | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Anna Booras | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.