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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.40+2.64vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.91+0.84vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.34-0.21vs Predicted
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6Miami University0.10-1.75vs Predicted
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9Denison University-0.69-3.31vs Predicted
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10Miami University-0.67-4.41vs Predicted
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11Indiana University-0.77-5.14vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-0.02-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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2.84Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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3.79Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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4.25Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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5.69Denison University-0.690.1%1st Place
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5.59Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.86Indiana University-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.34Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Irwin | 16.3% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 27.3% | 24.0% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| David Aspery | 15.9% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Max Burson | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| Tara Foster | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 22.8% |
| Colin Via | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 25.0% |
| Jon Callahan | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 31.5% |
| Evan Graves | 11.9% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.