← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Denison University-0.69+4.60vs Predicted
-
3Ohio University-0.02+1.49vs Predicted
-
4Miami University0.10+0.24vs Predicted
-
5University of Toledo0.40-1.30vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University0.34-2.22vs Predicted
-
9Indiana University-0.77-3.24vs Predicted
-
10Miami University-0.67-4.32vs Predicted
-
12Ohio State University0.91-9.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.6Denison University-0.690.0%1st Place
-
4.49Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
-
4.24Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
-
3.7University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
-
3.78Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
-
5.76Indiana University-0.770.0%1st Place
-
5.68Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
-
2.75Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tara Foster | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 22.6% | 22.9% |
| Evan Graves | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 7.6% |
| Max Burson | 12.4% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 6.5% |
| Thomas Irwin | 16.8% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| David Aspery | 14.3% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 2.7% |
| Jon Callahan | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 28.3% |
| Colin Via | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 27.7% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 30.2% | 22.8% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.