← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio University-0.19+2.71vs Predicted
-
2Hope College-0.65+2.67vs Predicted
-
3Indiana University-1.18+2.71vs Predicted
-
4University of Toledo-1.26+1.90vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-0.51-0.51vs Predicted
-
6Miami University-0.89-0.70vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University1.15-5.07vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University-1.19-2.16vs Predicted
-
9Cleveland State University-2.18-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.71Ohio University-0.1913.6%1st Place
-
4.67Hope College-0.658.2%1st Place
-
5.71Indiana University-1.185.2%1st Place
-
5.9University of Toledo-1.264.2%1st Place
-
4.49Purdue University-0.518.2%1st Place
-
5.3Miami University-0.895.7%1st Place
-
1.93Ohio State University1.1548.9%1st Place
-
5.84Ohio State University-1.194.7%1st Place
-
7.44Cleveland State University-2.181.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siri Schantz | 13.6% | 20.2% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Edmund Redman | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Ian Knox | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 12.3% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 13.7% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 8.2% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Allison Hoeft | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 7.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 48.9% | 25.2% | 14.7% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Molinski | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 11.8% |
| Zak Hamil | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.