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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.91+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo0.40+0.68vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.34-0.22vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.69+0.69vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.02-1.51vs Predicted
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7Miami University0.10-2.80vs Predicted
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8Miami University-0.67-2.31vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-0.77-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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3.68University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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3.78Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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5.69Denison University-0.690.1%1st Place
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4.49Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.2Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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5.69Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.73Indiana University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Gilbertson | 30.0% | 22.9% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Irwin | 16.7% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 1.9% |
| David Aspery | 15.6% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Tara Foster | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 25.6% |
| Evan Graves | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 8.1% |
| Max Burson | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Colin Via | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 21.4% | 26.0% |
| Jon Callahan | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.