← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University1.15+0.86vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University-0.51+2.48vs Predicted
-
3Ohio University-0.19+0.79vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University-1.19+1.79vs Predicted
-
5Hope College-0.65-0.30vs Predicted
-
6Miami University-0.89-0.79vs Predicted
-
7Indiana University-1.18-1.23vs Predicted
-
8University of Toledo-1.26-2.08vs Predicted
-
9Cleveland State University-2.18-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.86Ohio State University1.1551.1%1st Place
-
4.48Purdue University-0.518.8%1st Place
-
3.79Ohio University-0.1913.1%1st Place
-
5.79Ohio State University-1.194.2%1st Place
-
4.7Hope College-0.657.3%1st Place
-
5.21Miami University-0.895.3%1st Place
-
5.77Indiana University-1.184.5%1st Place
-
5.92University of Toledo-1.263.8%1st Place
-
7.46Cleveland State University-2.181.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 51.1% | 26.4% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 8.8% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Siri Schantz | 13.1% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Ava Molinski | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 12.5% |
| Edmund Redman | 7.3% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 4.0% |
| Allison Hoeft | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 5.3% |
| Ian Knox | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 10.4% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 14.8% |
| Zak Hamil | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.