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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.91+1.76vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.34+1.78vs Predicted
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3Miami University0.10+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.40-0.30vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.02-1.52vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.69-2.36vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-0.77-4.15vs Predicted
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11Miami University-0.67-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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3.78Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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4.24Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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4.48Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.64Denison University-0.690.1%1st Place
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5.85Indiana University-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.55Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Gilbertson | 28.8% | 25.3% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| David Aspery | 15.7% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| Max Burson | 12.1% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
| Thomas Irwin | 16.5% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Evan Graves | 10.1% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 7.2% |
| Tara Foster | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 26.7% |
| Jon Callahan | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 20.7% | 30.9% |
| Colin Via | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.